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Report to Congress

 
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Executive Summary & Introduction

Chapter 1: Workforce Issues in Critical Care

Chapter 2: Supply
Chapter 3: Demand
Chapter 4: Comparing Estimates of Supply and Demand
Chapter 5: Summary and implications
Key Acronyms & References
 

The Critical Care Workforce:  A Study of the Supply and Demand for Critical Care Physicians

Chapter 1: Workforce Issues in Critical Care

Specialty History

This report considers intensivists to be physicians certified in critical care who primarily deliver care to patients in an intensive care unit.  Most hospitals in the United States have maintained at least one ICU since the late 1960’s, although the use of ICUs has continued to grow as hospital patients have become more severely ill and as technology has increased the level of care available to the most critically ill patients. [17]  Critical care is one of the newest specialties to be certified under the American Board of Medical Specialties, with the first examination for internal medicine (IM) specialists in critical care held in 1987. [18]  We note that our study focuses on the adequacy of intensivist supply to provide adult critical care.  Population projections suggest a large increase in demand for such services due to an aging population.

Only seven percent of internists with board certification in critical care have been trained in critical care as their only subspecialty; Angus and colleagues found that the majority of those providing intensivist services trained in combined pulmonary and critical care programs. [19] In addition to their critical care training, intensivists have completed training in internal medicine, anesthesia, general surgery, pediatrics, or obstetrics and gynecology.  Intensivists care for critically ill patients alongside nurses, respiratory therapists, pharmacists, and physician assistants.

Pulmonologists are certified in pulmonary medicine and are trained in the care of patients with a variety of lung and respiratory disorders.  These disorders include a number of common diseases such as asthma, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and emphysema.  Pulmonologists complete a residency in internal medicine and a fellowship in pulmonary medicine either by itself or in conjunction with training in critical care.

Growth of Pulmonology and Critical Care Medicine

Pulmonary medicine originally evolved as a specialty as physicians developed increasing interest in patients with tuberculosis.  As antimicrobial therapy developed, and broader knowledge was acquired, pulmonologists expanded their expertise to a wide variety of illnesses affecting the respiratory system.

Internists became more interested in the care of critically ill ICU patients with pulmonologists pioneering the critical care field because of their expertise in the respiratory disorders of mechanically ventilated patients.  Critical care has continued to be a significant part of the scope of practice of pulmonologists throughout its development as a distinct specialty.

Mechanical ventilation was first used primarily for patients in the operating room, but became increasingly utilized in the care of patients with respiratory failure associated with a variety of illnesses.  Surgical specialists, including those practicing obstetrics and gynecology, were frequently involved in the care of critically ill patients who were mechanically ventilated in both surgical and recovery rooms.  ICUs became more prevalent in the 1950’s as the number of ventilated patients grew and were grouped together for increased efficiency of care. [20] Anesthesiologists were the first physicians to take a leading role in caring for ICU patients because of their experience in the operating and recovery rooms.

Previous analysis of the critical care workforce has examined pulmonologists and critical care specialists within internal medicine as one heterogeneous group that may fulfill similar functions.  However, physician certification and discipline of primary training may help to identify those physicians who deliver a significant volume of critical care services because they are associated with practice characteristics.

Internists trained exclusively in pulmonary medicine spend about 23 percent of patient care hours in the ICU, whereas those trained exclusively in critical care (without pulmonary training) spend more than 46 percent of patient care hours in the ICU. [21]  Surgeons and anesthesiologists account for a smaller proportion of practicing intensivists, about 10 percent, and are most likely to be involved in the care of post-operative patients.

Training Requirements

While many pulmonologists are also certified as intensivists, separate training requirements exist for both certifications.

  • Critical Care Medicine fellowships are generally 2 years, with at least 1 year of direct clinical care.  The other year may be spent in research or related activities.
  • Pulmonary Disease fellowships are also at least 2 years in duration.  Pulmonologists must acquire clinical proficiency in many of the same areas as those certified in critical care.  They also learn how to supervise pulmonary function tests and perform a number of other procedures specific to the respiratory system (e.g., bronchoscopy and pleural biopsy).  However, the frequency and duration of caring for critically ill inpatients may be less than that for critical care fellowships.
  • Combined pulmonary and critical care fellowships require that physicians meet the proficiency requirements of both specialty certifications.  Fellowships must be at least 3 years in duration, with two of these years spent in primarily clinical activity.

The close relationship between the practice of pulmonary care and that of critical care medicine is reflected in fellowship training.  This relationship may be because leaders in pulmonary medicine believe that “their survival and growth is vitally linked with critical care medicine.” [22] In recognition of this fact, many training programs in pulmonary medicine appended “critical care” to their name during the 1980's.

Because ICU patients are the most severely ill inpatients, they have mortality rates estimated to be between 12 and 17 percent. [23]  Almost 500,000 people die in ICUs every year; 360,000 of these patients are not managed by intensivists. [24]  Intensive care units have become an increasingly important part of U.S. inpatient care as less severely ill patients are cared for in the outpatient setting and inpatients are, on average, sicker than patients admitted a decade ago.  ICUs are expected to become even more important as the elderly increase in number and account for a greater proportion of ICU admissions

The Growing Elderly Population

The COMPACCS study examined the supply of intensivists and pulmonologists that provide services to adults in the U.S., as well as the expected demand for those services between 1997 and 2030.  In their analysis, more than half of all ICU days were found to be associated with care for patients older than 65 years of age.  Some of the sickest patients—those with respiratory insufficiency, multiple organ failure, and sepsis—were most likely to be cared for by intensivists in the critical care setting.

The most significant factor influencing the growth in demand for critical care services projected by the study is the aging of the population.  Americans over the age of 65 consume the majority of ICU services and this group will grow both in total number and as a proportion of the population.  If age-specific, per capita utilization of critical care services remains constant, COMPACCS estimated that in the absence of an increase in intensivist supply by 2020 there could be a 20 percent deficit in supply of intensivists.

Intensivist Staffing and Quality of Care

Patient outcomes and the quality of care in the ICU are related to who delivers that care and how care is organized.  The organization of the ICU follows three general models: [25]

  1. Open ICU—an open ICU is one in which patients are admitted by an attending physician of record (such as a general internist, surgeon, or family practitioner) with intensivists available for consultation.  All decisions are ultimately guided by the attending of record, even those that involve the intensivist.
  2. Intensivist co-management—an open ICU, as above, in which patients receive mandatory consultation from an intensivist.  While the patient is in the ICU, the primary attending of record is a “co-attending” physician that collaborates with the intensivist in the management of the critically ill patient.
  3. Closed ICU—an ICU in which admitted patients are transferred to the care of an intensivist (or team of intensivists) assigned to the ICU on a full-time basis.  In closed units, patients are admitted to the ICU only after the intensivist approves their admission.

A growing body of literature describes the economic and quality of care benefits of “closed” ICU staffing models. [26], [27]  Despite this, intensivists currently treat only 37 percent of ICU patients. [28] Dedicated intensivists staff an even smaller proportion of ICUs.  However, more hospitals appear to be moving towards intensivist-managed care of ICU patients in response to the evidence base as well as payer pressures.

Young and Birkmeyer estimated that 360,000 deaths occur every year in ICUs which are not managed by intensivists, and that intensivist staffing might save 54,000 lives annually. [29] However, as a recent review of the evidence for the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) suggested, “this analysis may underestimate the importance of intensivist-managed ICUs.  In addition to mortality, other quality of care outcome measures that might be improved by intensivists include rates of ICU complications, inappropriate ICU utilization, patient suffering, appropriate end-of-life palliative care, and futile care.” [30]

The business community has recently responded to concerns over quality of care by creating the Leapfrog Group.  Leapfrog attempts to leverage the purchasing power of Fortune 500 companies whose annual spending on health care exceeds $45 billion.  The consortium has chosen to promote three patient safety practices: the use of computerized physician order entry, the oversight of critical care physicians in the care of ICU patients (inpatient physician staffing or IPS), and the use of evidence-based hospital referral systems.  The growing evidence base supporting intensivist management of critically ill patients, reinforced by major support from the Leapfrog Group, has led to increasing demand for critical care physicians in recent years.

Based upon Leapfrog estimates, the proportion of hospitals requiring that an intensivist is involved in the care of critically ill patients has more than doubled in the last 5 years.  While previous estimates were that only 10 percent of ICUs met IPS standards, Leapfrog Regional Roll-Out reports indicate that 22 percent of 605 study hospitals meet standards at the present time.  This estimate indicates a significant movement towards greater utilization of intensivist services.  The change in ICU organization has been dramatic; many hospitals which publicly resisted the Leapfrog IPS recommendation have subsequently moved to intensivist-managed ICUs. [31]

Pronovost and colleagues have estimated that over $5 billion and 53,000 lives could be saved annually if ICU physician staffing changes were implemented in non-rural U.S. hospitals. [32] These estimates are consistent with earlier studies examining the impact of ICU staffing changes on patient mortality. [33] The combined appeal of improved quality along with the potential for significant cost savings makes the movement towards closed ICU staffing likely to continue, thereby increasing demand for intensivist services in the foreseeable future.  However, as the same AHRQ review noted, increasing demand for specialists in critical care medicine is likely to go unmet until a greater number of physicians are trained in this specialty. 

The COMPACCS analysis also projected that the anticipated shortage of intensivists becomes much more severe if a greater proportion of critical care is delivered by intensivists—as is likely to occur given current trends.  The study suggests that if intensivists were to care for two-thirds of the ICU patients in the U.S., available supply would meet only half of the current demand.  As is described in subsequent sections, our analysis supports the findings that demand for intensivists will continue to be greater than available supply in the next three decades.