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Physician Supply and Demand: Projections to 2020
Printer-friendly Physician Supply & Demand Report
Background
Physician Supply Model
Current Physician Workforce
New Entrants and Choice of Medical Specialty
Separations from the Physician Workforce
Trends in Physician Productivity
Physician Supply Projections
Physician Requirements Model
Growth and Aging of the Population
Medical Insurance Trends
Economic Factors
Other Potential Determinants of Demand for Physicians
Physician Requirements Projections
Assessing the Adequacy of Current and Future Supply
Summary
References
Exhibit 26. Patient Care Physician Requirements
Thousands of Physicians
Year
2000
2005
2010
2015
2020
Blue
714
767
800
> 800
821
Red
447
476
500
>500
684
Green
287
282
300
>300
337
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